Throughout my entire adult life I’ve been a rationalist. I’m right there in the atheist, mechanistic, logical positivist, humanist camp. But just recently, I’ve begun to wonder whether this viewpoint is actually correct. Not that I’ve suddenly become a Green, Christian, Marxist, Vegetarian, Buddhist, you understand.
It’s just that I’ve begun to wonder how much the role of luck plays in everything we do. For example, it strikes me that some people battle their entire lives for recognition and success and never achieve their dreams. Others, with no discernible talent, land on their feet and reach the loftiest heights of wealth and fame.
Now, of course, we can put all this down to how Person A presents their talents in a better way than Person B. We could argue, Person A worked harder than Person B, that they were better looking, more charming, more determined, more in touch with the Zeitgeist. But I’m convinced it’s not as simple as that. I’m beginning to think there might be something in the idea of luck.
A huge amount of scientific energy has been expended upon the notion that we will one day be able to define the universe. Some scientists have even postulated that we’ll wake up one morning to a world in which all the forces of nature are understood and can be described by a single equation, one we could put on a T-shirt. But, there are clues everywhere that the Universe is not a rational place, not a simple, neat and tidy universe, a place that will one day be explained by human ingenuity.
Consider a few clues:
- Quantum Theory is built upon the very concept of randomness. Chance, probability, ‘luck’ – these lay at the core of the theory.
- Chaos Theory. As the name implies, CT is the idea that certain phenomenon e.g the weather, traffic flow, air streams, water spewing from a tap… are all chaotic, indefinable, random.
- The number pi. A recent report in New Scientist claimed that this number was now known to 500 billion decimal places …that’s a lot! But, for all that, pi is still not a rational number. It is completely nebulous, without definition.
- Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle. This says that both the position and momentum of a particle can never be known at the same time -again, randomness.
- The Universe is infinite.
So, what’s my conclusion? The world is random, therefore anything can happen, therefore ‘luck’ (whatever that is) does exist.